Khamenei Is Dead
Iran’s Supreme Leader has indeed been eliminated, and this is an event of historic scale. But it is important not to confuse psychological effect with political result.
Artyom Matsko4 min read
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The Outcome of the First Day of War with Iran
Summary of the first day of the war. February 28, 2026 Today, at last, Israel and the United States began finishing the work left unfinished in June.
Artyom Matsko4 min read
Open article
Why Sanctions and "Concern" Almost Never Work
Why do “sanctions and concern” almost never work? Because this is one of the most stubborn myths of modern politics. Every time something truly serious happens, we hear the same broken...
Artyom Matsko3 min read
Open article
Pre-War Analysis of the Iran Question
In light of the growing talk about a possible strike on Iran in the near future, I wanted to share a few thoughts. Not long ago, Iran gave yet another classic example of how a brutal...
Artyom Matsko3 min read
Open article
Trump's Peace Council
More and more people are calling Trump’s Peace Council by what it is clearly trying to become: an alternative to the United Nations. And that is exactly where the truly dangerous part...
Artyom Matsko3 min read
Open article